I'm just kind of throwing this out there to see if I can make sense of it all.
If Rapid City continues to lose tonight, Colorado clinches the conference title because the Eagles own the tiebreaker with Bloomington. That would mean Bloomington, Rapid City and Missouri are all tied for second place, with Bloomington having two games remaining and Rapid City and Missouri one each. Wichita is solidly in fifth and can't move up or down since Quad City lost to Dayton. The Komets trail Quad City by one point and lead Dayton by one point.
If the Komets win and Quad City loses in regulation, the Komets can climb to sixth. If the teams tie, Quad City owns the tiebreaker. If the Komets tie with Dayton for points, the Gems own the tiebreaker because of more overall wins.
That means, if Dayton beats QC, and the Komets lose to Colorado, the Komets will play Colorado in the first round. If Quad City beats Dayton, it doesn't matter if the Komets win or lose, and they'll face the No. 2 seed, likely meaning it will be Bloomington but that won't be decided until Sunday night. That's assuming Bloomington beats Evansville twice. And that doesn't take into consideration what happens if any of the games goes to overtime or shootouts.
I think that's correct, but maybe somebody wants to check my math.