If you can't wait for next year's congressional races, Masson's Blog does a little early handicapping. Like Masson, I don't know a lot about the races outside my area of the state, but I'd say his "reasonable chance" for a swing from 7-2 Republican to 5-4 Republican and maybe even 5-4 Democratic is a bit of wishful thinking. That's nothing but a gut instinct based on the proven power of incumbency.
Comments
Could be wishful thinking. In any event, these predictions aren't worth the memory chips they're printed on. By reasonable chance, I guess I mean something more than 30% but less than 50%. I figure Ellsworth has a really good shot at taking out Hostettler. Then I figure the Dems have a fighting chance at taking out at least one of either Chocola or Sodrel.
Why do you think Ellsworth has a really good shot at taking out Hostettler?
I think Tom Hayhurst will beat Mark Souder. As most of you know I am The Chairman of The Libertarian Party of Allen County. I talk to a lot of people about local politics. There is NOT any local politican that is disliked more the Mark Souder.
Couple that with his mnay broken promises (Term limits and balancing the Federal Budget to name the largest two promises) and I think Tom hayhurst will defeat Mark Souder...