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News-Sentinel.com Your Town. Your Voice.
Opening Arguments

No close calls here

You silly, uninformed average voters. You're probably buying into the propaganda that this is going to be a real squeaker of a presidential race, a too-close-to-call nail biter to the very end. Well, guess again:

In other words, Obama can lose the big Eastern four—Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida: all of ’em!—and still be reelected.

And barring some huge cataclysm, he’s not losing all four of those states. If he wins even one—say Virginia, the smallest of the four—then Romney has to win Colorado, Iowa, and New Hampshire; all possible, certainly, but all states where he has been behind, narrowly but consistently, for weeks or months.

[. . .]

Liberals are too nervous to think it, reporters too intent on a “down to the wire” narrative, and conservatives too furious and disbelieving, but it’s shaping up to be true: An extremely close election that on election night itself stands a surprisingly good chance of being not that close at all.

Oh, no wait. Forget that one. This is the one I wanted you to see:

The media is trying to create a sense of momentum and of inevitability about the Obama candidacy.

[. . .]

Romney is currently leading in every state McCain carried plus: Indiana, New Hampshire, Wisconsin, Nevada, North Carolina, and Colorado. If he carries these states, he’ll have 228 electoral votes of the 270 he needs to win.

To win the election, Romney would then have to carry Florida where he trails by two points, and either Virginia (behind by two) or Ohio where he’s down by only one.

[. . .]

The strong probability is that Romney does, in fact, carry Florida, Ohio, and Virginia and a share of the other states where Obama is below 50% of the vote.

So don’t believe the garbage being put out by the media. The attempt to portray Romney as not catching on and as dropping in the polls is ludicrous. It is, at best, the product of incompetent polling and, at worst, the result of deliberate media bias. But Romney is winning and expanding his lead each week. That’s the real story.

You read it here first. It's an Obama landslide that liberals don't want to jinx and conservatives don't want to think about and a Romney landslide the press doesn't want you to know about! Hell of an election, huh?


Tue, 08/07/2012 - 10:38am

If the current poll numbers stay reasonably steady until Election Day, Obama can expect to win with a comfortable margin in the Electoral College, regardless of how close the popular vote is. He could even lose the popular, a la George W. Bush in 2000. A good argument for getting rid of the Electoral College, and that's coming from a guy whose candidate will probably benefit from it.

It's also annoying that, living in Indiana, our votes for president will be meaningless. Romney will take Indiana, perhaps narrowly, regardless of how you or I vote. Makes me want to move to Colorado, where the candidates will actually bother to ask for my vote. Come to think of it, I'd rather not be pestered by the candidates.

john b. kalb
Tue, 08/07/2012 - 5:57pm

Well - The first bright thing from "Small place to ......" this year!

Is your moving to Colorado a threat or a promise?

Either way - a relief for Indiana!  

Need help loading your movng van?  I'm available and can probably line-up at least 25 others to help get you on your way. 

Christopher Swing
Wed, 08/08/2012 - 3:01pm

It's like every so often Kalb just comes shuffling into the room and starts whacking littlejohn on the head with his cane for no discernable reason. You can never predict when!

Sat, 08/11/2012 - 10:05am

I was starting to wonder if he thinks I ran over his dog or something. I also have to wonder if he hasn't noticed that his own name is John.

john b. kalb
Sun, 08/12/2012 - 1:59pm

Small place to ...... - Don't have a dog - And I use a "full-size" John for my business -Besides, I use my real name and don't hid behind a psuedonym.  On top of that, I am happy to be living in Indiana!

Christopher Swing
Sun, 08/12/2012 - 6:59pm

Of course you wouldn't have a dog anymore, if he'd run over it. Duh.

What would he be hiding from, Kalb? Should he use a name you can track down easier so you can come over to his house and actually hit him with your cane/walker? Why else would you need traceable personal information? You gonna do somethin' to 'im, tough guy?

Sad to see another Mad Kalb Disease outbreak like this.

Fri, 08/17/2012 - 11:06am

Mr. Kalb, I'm not hiding from anyone. I'm not using my full name because my wife is a public schoolteacher. Leo knows who I am.